JuJu Smith-Schuster Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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JuJu Smith-Schuster

NFL · Player Props

JuJu Smith-Schuster

WR · New England Patriots

Receiving Yards

Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots · Week 8, 2023

Updated Oct 29, 2023 4:11 PM UTC

Analysis

JuJu Smith-Schuster Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Patriots are a big 8.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.
The predictive model expects the New England Patriots as the 8th-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 61.0% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
Our trusted projections expect the New England Patriots offense to be the 4th-quickest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 26.32 seconds per play.
The Dolphins pass defense has been gouged for the 5th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (72.3%) versus wideouts this year (72.3%).

Favors Under

Juju Smith-Schuster's 49.0% Route Participation Rate this year marks a noteworthy drop-off in his pass attack usage over last year's 81.2% figure.
Juju Smith-Schuster has put up quite a few less air yards this year (28.0 per game) than he did last year (44.0 per game).
When talking about pass protection (and the effect it has on all pass game stats), the O-line of the Patriots ranks as the 10th-worst in the league this year.
Juju Smith-Schuster has accrued significantly fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (19.0) this season than he did last season (62.0).
Juju Smith-Schuster's possession skills have tailed off this year, with his Adjusted Completion% shrinking from 80.5% to 61.2%.

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