JuJu Smith-Schuster Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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JuJu Smith-Schuster

NFL · Player Props

JuJu Smith-Schuster

WR · New England Patriots

Receiving Yards

New England Patriots vs Miami Dolphins · Week 2, 2023

Updated Sep 18, 2023 12:26 AM UTC

Analysis

JuJu Smith-Schuster Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-108/-127).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 33.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 27.5 @ -127.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Patriots rank as the 7th-most pass-oriented team in the league (adjusted for context) since the start of last season with a 68.6% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects the Patriots to run the 8th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 66.3 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 36.1 pass attempts per game against the Miami Dolphins defense since the start of last season: 4th-most in football.
THE BLITZ projects Juju Smith-Schuster to earn 6.2 targets this week, on average, placing him in the 75th percentile among WRs.

Favors Under

The New England Patriots have run the 6th-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a measly 55.0 plays per game.
The Miami Dolphins pass defense has shown good efficiency against wide receivers since the start of last season, surrendering 7.33 yards-per-target to the position: the 5th-least in the league.
The Miami Dolphins pass defense has performed very well when opposing wideouts have gotten into space, conceding an average of 3.84 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 8th-least in football.
The Miami Dolphins linebackers profile as the 9th-best unit in football since the start of last season in pass coverage.

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