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JuJu Smith-Schuster

JuJu Smith-Schuster Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Kansas City Chiefs vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
JuJu Smith-Schuster Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 47.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Kansas City Chiefs as the most pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 65.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-most plays run on the slate this week at 136.5 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects JuJu Smith-Schuster to earn 7.3 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 80th percentile among WRs.
  • JuJu Smith-Schuster has been a more important option in his team's pass attack this season (18.3% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (13.3%).
  • The Kansas City Chiefs offensive line profiles as the 10th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong effect on all passing offense stats across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The weather report calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 33.6 pass attempts per game against the Buffalo Bills defense this year: 8th-least in the league.
  • The Buffalo Bills defense has conceded the 9th-least receiving yards per game in football (just 142.0) vs. wide receivers this year.
  • The Buffalo Bills pass defense has displayed strong efficiency vs. WRs this year, yielding 7.33 yards-per-target to the position: the 6th-least in the league.
  • The Buffalo Bills pass defense has performed very well when opposing wide receivers have gotten into space, conceding an average of 3.40 yards-after-the-catch this year: the least in the league.

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