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JuJu Smith-Schuster

JuJu Smith-Schuster Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Indianapolis Colts vs Kansas City Chiefs

 
 
 
JuJu Smith-Schuster Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 50.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 50.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 50.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Kansas City Chiefs as the 4th-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 63.3% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 128.8 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Kansas City Chiefs have run the 7th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a monstrous 64.8 plays per game.
  • JuJu Smith-Schuster has run a route on 72.4% of his offense's passing plays since the start of last season, placing him in the 75th percentile among wide receivers.
  • THE BLITZ projects JuJu Smith-Schuster to garner 6.4 targets this week, on average, putting him in the 79th percentile among wideouts.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Chiefs are a 4.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating a rushing game script.
  • The weather report calls for 15-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing efficiency.
  • The Indianapolis Colts defense has yielded the 6th-least receiving yards per game in the league (just 132.0) versus WRs since the start of last season.
  • The Indianapolis Colts pass defense has shown good efficiency vs. WRs since the start of last season, allowing 7.41 yards-per-target to the position: the 5th-least in the league.
  • The Indianapolis Colts pass defense has been quite strong when opposing wideouts have gotten into space, giving up an average of 3.89 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 2nd-least in football.

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