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JuJu Smith-Schuster

JuJu Smith-Schuster Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
JuJu Smith-Schuster Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 56.5 (+106/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 62.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 56.5 @ -140.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 8th-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 63.2% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Chiefs to run the most plays on offense among all teams this week with 69.0 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • THE BLITZ projects JuJu Smith-Schuster to notch 7.9 targets this week, on average, ranking in the 85th percentile among WRs.
  • JuJu Smith-Schuster has notched significantly more receiving yards per game (66.0) this season than he did last season (28.0).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Chiefs are a massive 12.5-point favorite in this week's game, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
  • JuJu Smith-Schuster has gone out for fewer passes this season (82.2% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (93.0%).
  • The Denver Broncos defense has surrendered the 2nd-least receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 119.0) to WRs this year.
  • The Denver Broncos pass defense has exhibited strong efficiency against WRs this year, giving up 6.57 yards-per-target to the position: the least in the NFL.
  • The Denver Broncos pass defense has excelled when opposing wideouts have gotten into space, yielding an average of 3.98 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 9th-least in football.

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