JuJu Smith-Schuster Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 17

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JuJu Smith-Schuster

NFL · Player Props

JuJu Smith-Schuster

WR · Kansas City Chiefs

Receiving Yards

Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos · Week 17, 2022

Updated Jan 1, 2023 8:31 PM UTC

Analysis

JuJu Smith-Schuster Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 56.5 (+106/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 62.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 56.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 8th-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 63.2% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Chiefs to run the most plays on offense among all teams this week with 69.0 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects JuJu Smith-Schuster to notch 7.9 targets this week, on average, ranking in the 85th percentile among WRs.
JuJu Smith-Schuster has notched significantly more receiving yards per game (66.0) this season than he did last season (28.0).

Favors Under

The Chiefs are a massive 12.5-point favorite in this week's game, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
JuJu Smith-Schuster has gone out for fewer passes this season (82.2% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (93.0%).
The Denver Broncos defense has surrendered the 2nd-least receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 119.0) to WRs this year.
The Denver Broncos pass defense has exhibited strong efficiency against WRs this year, giving up 6.57 yards-per-target to the position: the least in the NFL.
The Denver Broncos pass defense has excelled when opposing wideouts have gotten into space, yielding an average of 3.98 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 9th-least in football.

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