JuJu Smith-Schuster Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 13

NFL · Player Props

JuJu Smith-Schuster

WR · Kansas City Chiefs

Receiving Yards

Cincinnati Bengals vs Kansas City Chiefs · Week 13, 2022

Updated Dec 5, 2022 12:46 AM UTC

Analysis

JuJu Smith-Schuster Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 52.5 (+101/-134).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 54.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 52.5 @ -134.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Kansas City Chiefs as the 2nd-most pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 67.5% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-most plays run among all games this week at 133.1 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Kansas City Chiefs have run the 7th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a whopping 60.7 plays per game.
The weatherman calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects JuJu Smith-Schuster to accumulate 7.2 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking in the 78th percentile among wide receivers.

Favors Under

JuJu Smith-Schuster has gone out for fewer passes this year (73.8% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (93.0%).
The Cincinnati Bengals pass defense has been quite strong when opposing wide receivers have gotten into space, giving up an average of 4.00 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 7th-least in football.
The Cincinnati Bengals linebackers project as the 5th-best LB corps in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.
The Kansas City Chiefs have faced a stacked the box on a measly 9.3% of their plays since the start of last season, least in the NFL. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
The Kansas City Chiefs have gone no-huddle on a measly 1.8% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (least in the league). This slows down the pace, leading to less volume and stat-padding.