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JuJu Smith-Schuster

JuJu Smith-Schuster Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 7

San Francisco 49ers vs Kansas City Chiefs

JuJu Smith-Schuster Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+187/-275).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -268 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -275.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 129.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

JuJu Smith-Schuster's 38.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been notably better this year than it was last year at 28.8.

The Kansas City Chiefs offensive line grades out as the 10th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.

JuJu Smith-Schuster's possession skills have improved this season, with his Completion% rising from 59.4% to 73.0%.

The Kansas City Chiefs offensive line has allowed their quarterback 2.60 seconds before getting pressured (best in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a positive effect on all passing attack stats across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The weatherman calls for 15-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.

Opposing teams have averaged 32.3 pass attempts per game vs. the San Francisco 49ers defense this year: 6th-least in football.

The San Francisco 49ers defense has conceded the 3rd-least passing TDs in football to WRs: 0.33 per game this year.

The San Francisco 49ers safeties grade out as the 2nd-best group of safeties in football this year in pass coverage.

The Kansas City Chiefs have been faced with a stacked the box on just 9.3% of their plays since the start of last season, least in football. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

More JuJu Smith-Schuster Player Props

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