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JuJu Smith-Schuster

JuJu Smith-Schuster Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 6

Kansas City Chiefs vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
JuJu Smith-Schuster Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+179/-259).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +180 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +179.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-most plays run on the slate this week at 136.5 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • JuJu Smith-Schuster's 39.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially better this year than it was last year at 28.8.
  • The Kansas City Chiefs offensive line profiles as the 10th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong effect on all passing offense stats across the board.
  • JuJu Smith-Schuster's possession skills have gotten better this season, with his Completion% increasing from 59.4% to 68.2%.
  • The Kansas City Chiefs O-line has afforded their quarterback 2.60 seconds before getting pressured (best in the league since the start of last season), which has a strong effect on all pass attack metrics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The weather report calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 33.6 pass attempts per game against the Buffalo Bills defense this year: 8th-least in the league.
  • JuJu Smith-Schuster ranks in the 1st percentile among wideouts as it relates to catching TDs this year, averaging just 0.00 per game.
  • The Buffalo Bills defense has yielded the 4th-least touchdowns through the air in the league to wideouts: 0.40 per game this year.
  • The Buffalo Bills linebackers grade out as the best group of LBs in the league this year in covering receivers.

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