My Account Log Out

reorder

JuJu Smith-Schuster

JuJu Smith-Schuster Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 5

Kansas City Chiefs vs Las Vegas Raiders

JuJu Smith-Schuster Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+160/-200).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects JuJu Smith-Schuster to be much more involved in his offense's pass game near the goal line this week (15.4% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (6.1% in games he has played).

JuJu Smith-Schuster's 39.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly higher this year than it was last year at 28.8.

The Kansas City Chiefs offensive line profiles as the 8th-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong effect on all passing offense statistics across the board.

JuJu Smith-Schuster's possession skills have gotten better this year, with his Completion% rising from 59.4% to 75.2%.

The Las Vegas Raiders pass defense has given up the 2nd-highest Completion% in the league (67.9%) to wideouts since the start of last season (67.9%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Chiefs are a massive 7-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the least plays run among all games this week at 128.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

JuJu Smith-Schuster grades out in the 1st percentile among WRs as it relates to catching TDs this year, averaging a mere 0.00 per game.

The Kansas City Chiefs have gone up against a stacked the box on a measly 9.3% of their plays since the start of last season, least in football. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

The Kansas City Chiefs have gone no-huddle on a measly 1.8% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (least in the NFL). This slows the pace, leading to less volume and stat-padding.

More JuJu Smith-Schuster Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™