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JuJu Smith-Schuster

JuJu Smith-Schuster Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 2

Kansas City Chiefs vs Los Angeles Chargers

JuJu Smith-Schuster Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+155/-185).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Chiefs to call the 8th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 64.4 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The Kansas City Chiefs have run the 3rd-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a whopping 65.6 plays per game.

The Kansas City Chiefs have played in the 2nd-most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in football since the start of last season, which ought to result in higher pass volume, reduced running volume, and improved passing offense results when facing better conditions in this game.

THE BLITZ projects JuJu Smith-Schuster to be much more involved in his team's pass game near the goal line this week (15.6% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (3.0% in games he has played).

The Kansas City Chiefs O-line profiles as the 2nd-best in football since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong impact on all passing offense metrics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Chiefs are a 4-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to a rushing game script.

JuJu Smith-Schuster grades out in the 1st percentile among wide receivers when it comes to catching TDs since the start of last season, averaging a lowly 0.00 per game.

The Los Angeles Chargers defense has allowed the 3rd-least passing TDs in football to wideouts: 0.67 per game since the start of last season.

The Kansas City Chiefs have faced a stacked the box on a measly 9.3% of their plays since the start of last season, least in football. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

The Los Angeles Chargers have stacked the box vs. opponents on just 13.8% of their plays since the start of last season, 10th-least in the league. Choosing not to keep an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

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