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Joshua Kelley

Joshua Kelley Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Los Angeles Chargers vs Denver Broncos

Joshua Kelley Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -109 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Chargers are a 4-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 132.8 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 8th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a monstrous 61.2 plays per game.

Joshua Kelley's rushing efficiency has gotten better this year, compiling 4.83 yards-per-carry compared to just 3.07 mark last year.

Joshua Kelley has made strides in picking up extra running yardage this year, averaging 3.74 yards-after-contact compared to a 2.00 rate last year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers to be the least run-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 38.5% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The Los Angeles Chargers O-line grades out as the worst in the NFL this year at blocking for rushers.

The Los Angeles Chargers have faced a stacked the box on 18.4% of their plays since the start of last season, most in the league. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

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