Joshua Kelley Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 16

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Joshua Kelley

NFL · Player Props

Joshua Kelley

RB · Los Angeles Chargers

Rushing Yards

Indianapolis Colts vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 16, 2022

Updated Dec 27, 2022 1:06 AM UTC

Analysis

Joshua Kelley Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Chargers are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the smallest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 135.0 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 2nd-most plays in the league this year, averaging a monstrous 63.4 plays per game.
Joshua Kelley has rushed for substantially more yards per game (23.0) this season than he did last season (13.0).
Joshua Kelley's ground effectiveness has gotten better this season, compiling 4.45 yards-per-carry vs a mere 3.07 mark last season.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers as the least run-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 33.8% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
The Los Angeles Chargers offensive line grades out as the worst in the league this year at blocking for rushers.
The Indianapolis Colts defensive tackles rank as the 3rd-best collection of DTs in football this year when it comes to defending the run.
The Los Angeles Chargers have faced a stacked the box on 18.4% of their plays since the start of last season, most in the league. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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