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Joshua Kelley

Joshua Kelley Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 19

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Los Angeles Chargers

 
 
 
Joshua Kelley Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -108 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -114.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers as the 5th-most pass-oriented offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 67.7% pass rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 133.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 2nd-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 62.6 plays per game.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 35.1 pass attempts per game against the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: 7th-most in the NFL.
  • Joshua Kelley has notched a monstrous 3.0 air yards per game this year: 81st percentile among running backs. (That may not sound like a lot, but most RBs have negative air yards because they are targeted behind the line of scrimmage).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Joshua Kelley has been among the least sure-handed receivers in the league among running backs, catching a measly 60.8% of passes thrown his way this year, ranking in the 10th percentile.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing QBs a mere 2.44 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 10th-quickest in the league since the start of last season.

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