Joshua Dobbs TD Passes - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Joshua Dobbs

NFL · Player Props

Joshua Dobbs

QB · Minnesota Vikings

TD Passes

Minnesota Vikings vs Chicago Bears · Week 12, 2023

Updated Nov 28, 2023 12:26 AM UTC

Analysis

Joshua Dobbs TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+145/-175).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Minnesota Vikings will be forced to utilize backup quarterback Joshua Dobbs in this game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
Our trusted projections expect the Vikings as the 7th-most pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 61.6% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
Right now, the 2nd-most pass-centric team in the NFL near the goal line (64.7% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Vikings.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
The leading projections forecast Joshua Dobbs to throw 37.2 passes this week, on balance: the 8th-most out of all quarterbacks.

Favors Under

The Vikings are a 3-point favorite this week, likely leading to a running game script.
The model projects this game to have the fewest plays run out of all the games this week at 126.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

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