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Joshua Dobbs

Joshua Dobbs TD Passes
Player Prop Week 12

Minnesota Vikings vs Chicago Bears

Joshua Dobbs TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+145/-175).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Minnesota Vikings will be forced to utilize backup quarterback Joshua Dobbs in this game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.

Our trusted projections expect the Vikings as the 7th-most pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 61.6% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

Right now, the 2nd-most pass-centric team in the NFL near the goal line (64.7% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Vikings.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

The leading projections forecast Joshua Dobbs to throw 37.2 passes this week, on balance: the 8th-most out of all quarterbacks.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Vikings are a 3-point favorite this week, likely leading to a running game script.

The model projects this game to have the fewest plays run out of all the games this week at 126.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

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