Joshua Dobbs Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Joshua Dobbs

NFL · Player Props

Joshua Dobbs

QB · Arizona Cardinals

Rushing Yards

Arizona Cardinals vs New York Giants · Week 2, 2023

Updated Sep 17, 2023 8:01 PM UTC

Analysis

Joshua Dobbs Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Arizona Cardinals will have a new play-caller this season in head coach Jonathan Gannon, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 4.3% more towards rushing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
THE BLITZ projects the Arizona Cardinals as the 5th-most run-oriented offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 43.0% run rate.
The Arizona Cardinals have called the 4th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a whopping 61.8 plays per game.
The New York Giants defense has had the 2nd-worst efficiency against opposing running games since the start of last season, giving up 5.32 yards-per-carry.
The New York Giants defensive ends rank as the 3rd-worst unit in the NFL since the start of last season in regard to stopping the run.

Favors Under

The Arizona Cardinals will be starting backup QB Joshua Dobbs this week, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
The Cardinals are a 4.5-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Cardinals to run the 2nd-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 60.4 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
The Arizona Cardinals O-line grades out as the 6th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season at blocking for the run game.

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