Joshua Dobbs Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Joshua Dobbs

NFL · Player Props

Joshua Dobbs

QB · Minnesota Vikings

Passing Yards

Las Vegas Raiders vs Minnesota Vikings · Week 14, 2023

Updated Dec 10, 2023 9:06 PM UTC

Analysis

Joshua Dobbs Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 220.5 (+104/-142).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 230.5 @ -127 before it was bet down to 220.5 @ -142.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Minnesota Vikings will be forced to use backup quarterback Joshua Dobbs in this game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
The model projects the Vikings to be the 6th-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 60.7% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may fall-off.
The Minnesota Vikings O-line grades out as the 2nd-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.
Joshua Dobbs's 66.0% Adjusted Completion% this year indicates a significant boost in his passing precision over last year's 62.4% rate.

Favors Under

The Vikings are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to a rushing game script.
The leading projections forecast the Vikings to run the 10th-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 64.3 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
Joshua Dobbs has attempted just 11.3 throws per game this year, ranking in the 11th percentile when it comes to quarterbacks.
Joshua Dobbs rates as one of the weakest QBs in the league this year, averaging 68.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 11th percentile.

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