Joshua Dobbs Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Joshua Dobbs

NFL · Player Props

Joshua Dobbs

QB · Minnesota Vikings

Passing Yards

Minnesota Vikings vs Chicago Bears · Week 12, 2023

Updated Nov 28, 2023 12:26 AM UTC

Analysis

Joshua Dobbs Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 228.5 (-105/-125).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Minnesota Vikings will be forced to utilize backup quarterback Joshua Dobbs in this game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
Our trusted projections expect the Vikings as the 7th-most pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 61.6% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
The leading projections forecast Joshua Dobbs to throw 37.2 passes this week, on balance: the 8th-most out of all quarterbacks.
Opposing teams have averaged 40.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Bears defense this year: 3rd-most in the NFL.

Favors Under

The Vikings are a 3-point favorite this week, likely leading to a running game script.
The model projects this game to have the fewest plays run out of all the games this week at 126.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Joshua Dobbs comes in as one of the weakest quarterbacks in the league this year, averaging 145.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 13th percentile.
Joshua Dobbs comes in as one of the worst per-play QBs in the NFL this year, averaging a mere 6.00 adjusted yards-per-target while checking in at the lowly 9th percentile.

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