Joshua Dobbs Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Joshua Dobbs

NFL · Player Props

Joshua Dobbs

QB · Minnesota Vikings

Passing Yards

Denver Broncos vs Minnesota Vikings · Week 11, 2023

Updated Nov 20, 2023 3:11 AM UTC

Analysis

Joshua Dobbs Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 221.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 232.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 221.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Vikings may rely on the pass game less this week (and call more rushes) because they be rolling with backup quarterback Joshua Dobbs.
The model projects the Vikings as the 7th-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 60.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
The predictive model expects Joshua Dobbs to throw 36.2 passes in this week's game, on average: the 4th-most out of all quarterbacks.
When it comes to pocket protection (and the positive effect it has on all air attack stats), the O-line of the Vikings profiles as the 3rd-best in the NFL this year.
The Broncos pass defense has exhibited bad efficiency this year, giving up 8.59 adjusted yards-per-target: the most in football.

Favors Under

Opposing teams teams have been wary to lean on the pass against the Broncos, totaling the 9th-fewest attempts in football (just 33.8 per game) this year.
Joshua Dobbs has been one of the weakest quarterbacks in the league this year, averaging 159.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 16th percentile.
Joshua Dobbs checks in as one of the least on-target QBs in football this year with a 62.3% Adjusted Completion%, ranking in the 24th percentile.
With a lackluster 5.97 adjusted yards-per-target (9th percentile) this year, Joshua Dobbs ranks as one of the worst per-play QBs in football.

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