Joshua Dobbs Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 17

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Joshua Dobbs

NFL · Player Props

Joshua Dobbs

QB · Tennessee Titans

Passing Yards

Tennessee Titans vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 17, 2022

Updated Dec 30, 2022 4:01 AM EST

Analysis

Joshua Dobbs Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 156.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 163.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 156.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Tennessee Titans will be starting backup quarterback Joshua Dobbs this week, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
The Titans are a 3.5-point favorite this week, likely creating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-most plays run out of all the games this week at 134.6 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing QBs have averaged 36.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Dallas Cowboys defense this year: 10th-most in the NFL.
The Dallas Cowboys defense has been vulnerable when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, conceding an average of 5.37 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 9th-most in the league.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 10th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 53.6% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Tennessee Titans have run the least plays in the league this year, averaging a lowly 52.8 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Joshua Dobbs to attempt 32.5 passes in this week's contest, on average: the 11th-least of all quarterbacks.
The Tennessee Titans O-line ranks as the worst in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful impact on all passing game stats across the board.
The Dallas Cowboys linebackers project as the 6th-best collection of LBs in football this year in covering receivers.

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