Joshua Dobbs Completions - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Joshua Dobbs

NFL · Player Props

Joshua Dobbs

QB · Arizona Cardinals

Completions

Seattle Seahawks vs Arizona Cardinals · Week 7, 2023

Updated Oct 23, 2023 1:56 AM UTC

Analysis

Joshua Dobbs Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-123/-111).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Arizona Cardinals may lean on the pass less in this week's contest (and call more carries) since they be starting backup QB Joshua Dobbs.
At a -8.5-point disadvantage, the Cardinals are huge underdogs in this game, indicating much more of a reliance on passing than their standard approach.
Opposing teams have averaged 40.6 pass attempts per game versus the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 3rd-most in football.
As it relates to safeties in covering pass-catchers, Seattle's collection of safeties has been very bad this year, ranking as the 3rd-worst in football.

Favors Under

The Cardinals have a new play-caller this year in head coach Jonathan Gannon, and the leading projections forecast their pass/run mix to skew 5.6% more towards rushing than it did last year (in a neutral context).
Right now, the 2nd-least pass-centric offense in the NFL (55.7% in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Cardinals.
Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Arizona Cardinals are predicted by the projection model to call just 62.9 total plays in this game: the 7th-lowest number on the slate this week.
The Cardinals offensive line profiles as the 4th-worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a negative influence on all air attack stats across the board.
With a weak 62.0% Adjusted Completion% (21st percentile) this year, Joshua Dobbs ranks as one of the least accurate QBs in football.

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