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Joshua Dobbs

Joshua Dobbs Completions
Player Prop Week 18

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Tennessee Titans

 
 
 
Joshua Dobbs Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-105/-124).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -122 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ -124.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Tennessee Titans will be rolling out backup quarterback Joshua Dobbs this week, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
  • The Titans are a 6.5-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 3rd-quickest paced defense in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment, leading opposing offenses to average 27.47 seconds per snap.
  • The weatherman calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 37.2 pass attempts per game versus the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: 7th-most in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 5th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 52.8% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects Joshua Dobbs to attempt 31.2 passes in this week's game, on average: the 10th-least of all quarterbacks.
  • The Tennessee Titans O-line grades out as the worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative effect on all passing offense stats across the board.
  • Joshua Dobbs has been among the least accurate QBs in football this year with a 57.9% Completion%, checking in at the 16th percentile.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 10th-lowest rate in the NFL vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year (68.5%).

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