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Joshua Dobbs Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-115/-115).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -115.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The Cardinals have a new play-caller this year in head coach Jonathan Gannon, and the predictive model expects their pass/run mix to skew 6.0% more towards rushing than it did last year (context-neutralized).The predictive model expects the Arizona Cardinals offense to be the 10th-quickest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the moment, averaging 27.06 seconds per play.Our trusted projections expect Joshua Dobbs to earn 5.5 carries in this week's contest, on average: the 5th-most out of all QBs.After accounting for 13.8% of his team's run game usage last season, Joshua Dobbs has had a larger role in the ground game this season, now sitting at 20.6%.When it comes to the safeties' role in run defense, Baltimore's safety corps has been very bad this year, ranking as the worst in the league. in the league.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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The Arizona Cardinals may throw the ball less in this week's contest (and call more rushes) as a result of being be forced to start backup quarterback Joshua Dobbs.The Cardinals are a big 9.5-point underdog in this game, likely creating an extreme passing game script.Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Arizona Cardinals to run on 40.2% of their downs: the 10th-lowest clip among all teams this week.This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.In regards to blocking for ball-carriers (and the influence it has on all ground game metrics), the O-line of the Arizona Cardinals ranks as the 6th-worst in the league last year.
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