Joshua Dobbs Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Joshua Dobbs

NFL · Player Props

Joshua Dobbs

QB · Minnesota Vikings

Carries

Minnesota Vikings vs Chicago Bears · Week 12, 2023

Updated Nov 28, 2023 12:21 AM UTC

Analysis

Joshua Dobbs Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -123 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Vikings are a 3-point favorite this week, likely leading to a running game script.
After comprising 13.8% of his offense's rush attempts last season, Joshua Dobbs has had a larger role in the running game this season, now accounting for 20.3%.

Favors Under

The Minnesota Vikings will be forced to utilize backup quarterback Joshua Dobbs in this game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
The leading projections forecast the Minnesota Vikings as the least run-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 38.4% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The model projects this game to have the fewest plays run out of all the games this week at 126.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
The projections expect Joshua Dobbs to accrue 5.6 rush attempts in this week's game, on balance: the 5th-most among all QBs.

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