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Josh Reynolds

Josh Reynolds Receptions
Player Prop Week 3

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
Josh Reynolds Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-164/+125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +148 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A passing game script is implied by the Broncos being a -3.5-point underdog in this week's contest.
  • The leading projections forecast the Broncos offense to be the 9th-quickest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 27.33 seconds per play.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 37.3 pass attempts per game against the Buccaneers defense since the start of last season: 3rd-most in the league.
  • While Josh Reynolds has received 11.2% of his offense's targets in games he has played since the start of last season, the leading projections forecast him to be a more integral piece of Denver's pass game in this week's contest at 17.0%.
  • The Denver Broncos offensive line profiles as the 3rd-best in the league since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect the Denver Broncos to be the 10th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 55.1% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • When it comes to linebackers pass-rushing, Tampa Bay's LB corps has been excellent since the start of last season, projecting as the 5th-best in football.

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