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Josh Reynolds
NFL · Player Props
Josh Reynolds
WR · Detroit Lions
Receptions
Detroit Lions vs Carolina Panthers · Week 5, 2023 Updated Oct 8, 2023 5:11 PM UTC
NFL Props Josh Reynolds Receptions

Josh Reynolds Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +115 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +110.

Favors Over
  • The leading projections forecast the Lions to call the 8th-most total plays on the slate this week with 65.0 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • Josh Reynolds's 40.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly higher this season than it was last season at 32.4.
  • The Detroit Lions O-line ranks as the 3rd-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong effect on all air attack statistics across the board.
  • The Carolina Panthers pass defense has given up the 2nd-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (71.1%) vs. wide receivers since the start of last season (71.1%).
Favors Under
  • The Lions are a giant 9.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
  • Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Detroit Lions to pass on 54.0% of their plays: the 4th-lowest clip on the slate this week.
  • Opposing teams teams have been reluctant to lean on the pass against the Panthers, averaging the 5th-fewest attempts in the league (a mere 30.2 per game) this year.
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