Josh Reynolds Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 17

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Josh Reynolds

NFL · Player Props

Josh Reynolds

WR · Detroit Lions

Receptions

Detroit Lions vs Chicago Bears · Week 17, 2022

Updated Jan 1, 2023 9:01 PM UTC

Analysis

Josh Reynolds Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+165/-234).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -121 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -234.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Josh Reynolds's receiving skills have gotten better this year, averaging 3.6 yards per game compared to a measly 1.8 last year.
Josh Reynolds's possession skills have been refined this season, with his Completion% increasing from 54.9% to 67.9%.
The Chicago Bears pass defense has allowed the 6th-highest Completion% in the league (69.4%) to wide receivers this year (69.4%).
The Chicago Bears cornerbacks grade out as the 3rd-worst collection of CBs in football this year in covering receivers.

Favors Under

The Lions are a 4.5-point favorite this week, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Lions to run the 7th-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing QBs have averaged 28.9 pass attempts per game against the Chicago Bears defense this year: least in the league.
Josh Reynolds has been a much bigger part of his team's offense this year, playing on 69.3% of snaps vs just 50.2% last year.
The Detroit Lions offensive line grades out as the 4th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful effect on all passing attack stats across the board.

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