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Josh Reynolds

Josh Reynolds Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Denver Broncos vs Las Vegas Raiders

 
 
 
Josh Reynolds Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects the Denver Broncos to be the 4th-fastest paced defense in the league (context-neutralized) at the moment, with opposing offenses averaging 27.81 seconds per play.
  • Josh Reynolds has compiled quite a few more air yards this season (47.0 per game) than he did last season (42.0 per game).
  • When talking about pass protection (and the positive impact it has on all pass attack stats), the offensive line of the Denver Broncos grades out as the 8th-best in football this year.
  • When it comes to linebackers in defending receivers, Las Vegas's collection of LBs has been dreadful this year, projecting as the worst in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Broncos to pass on 53.9% of their plays: the 6th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
  • Josh Reynolds's receiving effectiveness has declined this year, averaging a mere 9.58 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 10.93 figure last year.
  • This year, the daunting Las Vegas Raiders pass defense has allowed the 10th-least yards-after-the-catch in football to opposing wide receivers: a paltry 3.3 YAC.

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