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Josh Reynolds

Josh Reynolds Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Denver Broncos vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Josh Reynolds Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (+105/-136).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 29.5 @ +105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A throwing game script is implied by the Broncos being a -3-point underdog in this week's contest.

At a mere 27.51 seconds per play, the Denver Broncos offense checks in as the 8th-quickest paced in football (context-neutralized) since the start of last season.

While Josh Reynolds has been responsible for 11.0% of his offense's targets in games he has played since the start of last season, the model projects him to be a more integral piece of Denver's passing offense this week at 17.2%.

As it relates to pocket protection (and the positive effect it has on all pass attack statistics), the O-line of the Denver Broncos profiles as the 2nd-best in the NFL since the start of last season.

With an exceptional 10.4 adjusted yards per target (96th percentile) since the start of last season, Josh Reynolds stands as one of the leading wide receivers in the NFL in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Broncos to pass on 55.5% of their downs: the 9th-lowest rate among all teams this week.

Opposing QBs have averaged 32.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers defense since the start of last season: 9th-fewest in the league.

The Pittsburgh Steelers pass defense has surrendered the 7th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (61.6%) to wideouts since the start of last season (61.6%).

The Steelers safeties project as the 4th-best unit in the NFL since the start of last season in pass coverage.

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