My Account Log Out

reorder

Josh Reynolds

Josh Reynolds Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Las Vegas Raiders vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Josh Reynolds Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Jaguars may rely on the pass game less this week (and call more carries) because they be forced to use backup quarterback Mac Jones.

Right now, the 6th-quickest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Jaguars.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

In regards to protecting the passer (and the strong effect it has on all pass game metrics), the offensive line of the Jaguars profiles as the 7th-best in the league this year.

The Las Vegas Raiders linebackers profile as the 2nd-worst group of LBs in the league this year in pass coverage.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Opposing teams have averaged 32.6 pass attempts per game against the Raiders defense this year: 8th-fewest in the NFL.

Josh Reynolds has been used less as a potential pass-catcher this season (60.0% Route Participation Rate in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (72.9%).

After accruing 42.0 air yards per game last season, Josh Reynolds has significantly declined this season, currently boasting 37.0 per game.

Josh Reynolds has posted quite a few less adjusted receiving yards per game (30.0) this season than he did last season (42.0).

Josh Reynolds's 61.0% Adjusted Completion% this year marks an impressive decline in his receiving talent over last year's 65.4% figure.

More Josh Reynolds Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™