Josh Reynolds Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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NFL · Player Props

Josh Reynolds

WR · Detroit Lions

Receiving Yards

Detroit Lions vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 8, 2023

Updated Oct 30, 2023 11:11 PM UTC

Analysis

Josh Reynolds Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 34.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 32.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 34.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Detroit Lions have run the 10th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a staggering 61.1 plays per game.
The air attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.
When talking about protecting the passer (and the positive effect it has on all pass attack metrics), the O-line of the Lions grades out as the 2nd-best in the league this year.
Josh Reynolds's 68.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this season reflects a remarkable progression in his receiving talent over last season's 43.0 mark.
Josh Reynolds's ball-catching skills have gotten a boost this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate jumping from 68.1% to 72.9%.

Favors Under

The Lions are an enormous 7-point favorite this week, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
The model projects the Detroit Lions to be the least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 59.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is anticipated by our trusted projection set to see just 124.5 plays on offense called: the lowest number among all games this week.
Opposing quarterbacks teams have been afraid to pass too much against the Las Vegas Raiders, totaling the fewest attempts in the league (a mere 33.4 per game) this year.
This year, the strong Las Vegas Raiders defense has conceded a feeble 134.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing wideouts: the 6th-best in football.