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Josh Reynolds

Josh Reynolds Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Detroit Lions vs Carolina Panthers

Josh Reynolds Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 44.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the Lions to call the 8th-most total plays on the slate this week with 65.0 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

After averaging 53.0 air yards per game last season, Josh Reynolds has seen marked improvement this season, currently averaging 59.0 per game.

Josh Reynolds's 40.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly higher this season than it was last season at 32.4.

The Detroit Lions O-line ranks as the 3rd-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong effect on all air attack statistics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Lions are a giant 9.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating an extreme rushing game script.

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Detroit Lions to pass on 54.0% of their plays: the 4th-lowest clip on the slate this week.

Opposing teams teams have been reluctant to lean on the pass against the Panthers, averaging the 5th-fewest attempts in the league (a mere 30.2 per game) this year.

The Carolina Panthers pass defense has been quite strong when opposing wideouts have gotten into space, giving up an average of 3.44 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 2nd-fewest in the league.

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