Josh Reynolds Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Josh Reynolds

NFL · Player Props

Josh Reynolds

WR · Detroit Lions

Receiving Yards

Detroit Lions vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 2, 2023

Updated Sep 17, 2023 5:06 PM UTC

Analysis

Josh Reynolds Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 39.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 4th-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 131.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Josh Reynolds has been among the most effective receivers in the league, averaging a terrific 9.61 yards-per-target since the start of last season while grading out in the 88th percentile among wideouts.
The Seattle Seahawks safeties profile as the worst group of safeties in football since the start of last season in pass coverage.

Favors Under

The Lions are a 4.5-point favorite in this game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
The Lions have been the 2nd-least pass-oriented team in the league (adjusted for context) since the start of last season with a 52.4% pass rate.
Opposing offenses have averaged 31.9 pass attempts per game against the Seattle Seahawks defense since the start of last season: 9th-least in the NFL.
The Detroit Lions offensive line profiles as the 6th-worst in football since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all pass game metrics across the board.
Josh Reynolds has been among the bottom WRs in football at picking up extra yardage, averaging just 2.74 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while ranking in the 24th percentile.

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