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Josh Reynolds

Josh Reynolds Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Dallas Cowboys vs Detroit Lions

Josh Reynolds Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A throwing game script is indicated by the Lions being a -4.5-point underdog in this game.

The leading projections forecast the Lions to be the 5th-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 61.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

The leading projections forecast the Lions to call the 8th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 65.9 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.

The 4th-most plays in football have been run by the Detroit Lions this year (a colossal 61.0 per game on average).

The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may fall-off.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Opposing teams have averaged 30.9 pass attempts per game versus the Cowboys defense this year: 2nd-fewest in the NFL.

After averaging 53.0 air yards per game last season, Josh Reynolds has gotten worse this season, currently averaging 44.0 per game.

The Cowboys defense has yielded the 5th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (just 125.0) versus wide receivers this year.

The Dallas Cowboys pass defense has allowed the 3rd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (57.8%) vs. wideouts this year (57.8%).

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