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Josh Reynolds

Josh Reynolds Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Minnesota Vikings vs Detroit Lions

Josh Reynolds Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Detroit Lions are forecasted by our trusted projection set to call 66.4 plays on offense in this game: the 7th-most among all teams this week.

The Lions have called the 8th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a staggering 60.4 plays per game.

The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may decline.

The Minnesota Vikings defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, compelling opposing offenses to attempt the 7th-most passes in the NFL (38.2 per game) this year.

The Detroit Lions O-line grades out as the 8th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive effect on all passing offense metrics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At the moment, the 10th-least pass-heavy team in football (59.0% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Detroit Lions.

Josh Reynolds has compiled significantly fewer air yards this year (44.0 per game) than he did last year (53.0 per game).

The Minnesota Vikings safeties project as the 3rd-best collection of safeties in football this year in pass coverage.

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