Josh Reynolds Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Josh Reynolds

NFL · Player Props

Josh Reynolds

WR · Detroit Lions

Receiving Yards

Chicago Bears vs Detroit Lions · Week 14, 2023

Updated Dec 11, 2023 4:01 AM EST

Analysis

Josh Reynolds Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The 6th-largest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Lions this year (a staggering 60.9 per game on average).
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 39.8 pass attempts per game versus the Chicago Bears defense this year: 2nd-most in the league.
The Detroit offensive line profiles as the 2nd-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong influence on all pass attack stats across the board.
Josh Reynolds's 11.6 adjusted yards per target this season marks a noteworthy boost in his pass-catching ability over last season's 9.3 figure.
As it relates to safeties in defending receivers, Chicago's unit has been awful this year, grading out as the 2nd-worst in football.

Favors Under

A running game script is suggested by the Lions being a 3-point favorite in this week's contest.
The leading projections forecast the Lions to be the 9th-least pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 55.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Lions are expected by the predictive model to run just 62.4 total plays in this contest: the 3rd-fewest on the slate this week.
After averaging 53.0 air yards per game last year, Josh Reynolds has regressed heavily this year, currently averaging 43.0 per game.

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