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Josh Reynolds

Josh Reynolds Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Detroit Lions vs Green Bay Packers

Josh Reynolds Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The 6th-highest number of plays in football have been run by the Lions this year (a massive 60.9 per game on average).

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

When it comes to pocket protection (and the strong effect it has on all pass game statistics), the offensive line of the Detroit Lions ranks as the 2nd-best in football this year.

Josh Reynolds's 12.3 adjusted yards per target this season shows a material improvement in his pass-catching skills over last season's 9.3 mark.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

An extreme rushing game script is indicated by the Lions being a giant 8.5-point favorite in this week's contest.

Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 5th-fewest plays run on the slate this week at 127.4 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Opposing offenses teams have been afraid to test the pass defense of the Green Bay Packers, totaling the 7th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a measly 33.4 per game) this year.

Josh Reynolds has accumulated quite a few less air yards this season (46.0 per game) than he did last season (53.0 per game).

The Packers defense has conceded the 6th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 134.0) to wideouts this year.

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