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Josh Reynolds

Josh Reynolds Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Detroit Lions vs Chicago Bears

 
 
 
Josh Reynolds Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 31.5 (-115/-115).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The 5th-largest volume of plays in football have been called by the Detroit Lions this year (a colossal 62.0 per game on average).
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • The Bears defense has been something of pass funnel this year, inducing opposing offenses to attempt the 5th-most passes in football (40.0 per game) this year.
  • The Detroit Lions O-line grades out as the 2nd-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong impact on all passing game stats across the board.
  • Josh Reynolds's 54.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this season represents a substantial gain in his pass-catching skills over last season's 43.0 rate.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 7.5-point advantage, the Lions are overwhelmingly favored in this week's game, implying much more of a focus on rushing than their standard approach.
  • The model projects this game to see the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 123.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

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