Josh Reynolds Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Josh Reynolds

NFL · Player Props

Josh Reynolds

WR · Detroit Lions

Receiving Yards

Detroit Lions vs Washington Commanders · Week 2, 2022

Updated Sep 18, 2022 7:30 PM UTC

Analysis

Josh Reynolds Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-125/-115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Detroit Lions offense has played at the 9th-quickest pace in the NFL (context-neutralized) since the start of last season, averaging 25.27 seconds per snap.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Josh Reynolds has accounted for a whopping 21.9% of his team's air yards since the start of last season: 76th percentile among wideouts.
The Washington Commanders defense has conceded the 3rd-most receiving yards per game in the NFL (175.0) vs. wide receivers since the start of last season.
The Washington Commanders pass defense has yielded the 4th-highest Completion% in the NFL (69.6%) to wide receivers since the start of last season (69.6%).

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Detroit Lions to be the 6th-least pass-oriented team in the league (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 57.6% pass rate.
The Washington Commanders pass defense has been quite strong when opposing wideouts have gotten into space, yielding an average of 3.69 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 3rd-least in football.
The Detroit Lions offensive line has afforded their quarterback just 2.53 seconds before the pass (9th-worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a harmful impact on all passing offense statistics across the board.
The Detroit Lions have incorporated play action on a mere 22.0% of their passing plays since the start of last season (6th-least in the NFL), making the offense more predictable and lowering passing effectiveness.

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