Josh Reynolds Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Josh Reynolds

NFL · Player Props

Josh Reynolds

WR · Detroit Lions

Receiving Yards

New York Jets vs Detroit Lions · Week 15, 2022

Updated Dec 19, 2022 12:26 AM UTC

Analysis

Josh Reynolds Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (+110/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 28.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 25.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Lions to call the 7th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 67.3 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Josh Reynolds has been less involved as a potential pass-catcher this year (84.0% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (64.7%).
Josh Reynolds has accumulated far more air yards this season (75.0 per game) than he did last season (54.0 per game).
Josh Reynolds has put up a lot more receiving yards per game (51.0) this year than he did last year (28.0).
Josh Reynolds's sure-handedness have been refined this season, with his Completion% rising from 54.9% to 68.0%.

Favors Under

The Detroit Lions O-line profiles as the 4th-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.
Josh Reynolds's ability to generate extra yardage has diminished this season, accumulating just 3.15 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 6.47 figure last season.
The New York Jets defense has given up the least receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 121.0) to wide receivers this year.
The New York Jets pass defense has yielded the 3rd-lowest Completion% in the league (61.7%) vs. wide receivers this year (61.7%).
The New York Jets pass defense has shown good efficiency versus WRs this year, giving up 7.00 yards-per-target to the position: the 2nd-least in football.

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