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Josh Reynolds
NFL · Player Props
Josh Reynolds
WR · Detroit Lions
Receiving TD
Minnesota Vikings vs Detroit Lions · Week 3, 2022 Updated Sep 25, 2022 4:55 PM UTC
NFL Props Josh Reynolds Receiving TD

Josh Reynolds Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+439/-1009).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -745 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -1009.

Favors Over
  • The Lions are a 6.5-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Detroit Lions offense as the 10th-fastest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 26.55 seconds per snap.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 36.3 pass attempts per game against the Minnesota Vikings defense since the start of last season: 7th-most in the league.
  • Josh Reynolds has been a key part of his team's offense near the goal line, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 25.0% this year, which ranks in the 88th percentile among WRs.
Favors Under
  • The Detroit Lions offensive line has given their QB just 2.53 seconds before the pass (8th-worst in football since the start of last season), which has a harmful impact on all air attack statistics across the board.
  • The Detroit Lions have incorporated play action on a measly 22.0% of their passing plays since the start of last season (6th-least in football), making the offense more predictable and lowering passing effectiveness.
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