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Josh Reynolds

Josh Reynolds Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 2

Detroit Lions vs Washington Commanders

Josh Reynolds Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+394/-832).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -719 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -832.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Detroit Lions offense has played at the 9th-quickest pace in the NFL (context-neutralized) since the start of last season, averaging 25.27 seconds per snap.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

Josh Reynolds has accounted for a whopping 21.9% of his team's air yards since the start of last season: 76th percentile among wideouts.

The Washington Commanders pass defense has yielded the 4th-highest Completion% in the NFL (69.6%) to wide receivers since the start of last season (69.6%).

The Washington Commanders linebackers grade out as the worst group of LBs in football since the start of last season in pass coverage.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Detroit Lions offensive line has afforded their quarterback just 2.53 seconds before the pass (9th-worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a harmful impact on all passing offense statistics across the board.

The Detroit Lions have incorporated play action on a mere 22.0% of their passing plays since the start of last season (6th-least in the NFL), making the offense more predictable and lowering passing effectiveness.

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