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Josh Palmer

Josh Palmer Receptions
Player Prop Week 12

Los Angeles Chargers vs Baltimore Ravens

Josh Palmer Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-138/+106).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Still weather conditions (like the 1-mph wind being called for in this game) typically cause better passing effectiveness, higher touchdown potential, higher air attack volume, and reduced rush volume.

The Baltimore Ravens defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, tempting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the most passes in football (41.7 per game) this year.

Josh Palmer's 66.4% Adjusted Catch% this year shows a noteable growth in his receiving prowess over last year's 62.8% rate.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Chargers are expected by the predictive model to call only 62.6 total plays in this game: the fewest on the slate this week.

The Chargers have called the fewest plays in football this year, averaging just 55.2 plays per game.

Josh Palmer has been less involved as a potential pass-catcher this season (75.3% Route Participation% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (86.3%).

Josh Palmer's 2.2 adjusted receptions per game this year signifies a noteable regression in his pass-catching skills over last year's 3.8 rate.

The Ravens safeties profile as the 4th-best safety corps in the NFL this year in regard to pass rush.

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