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Josh Palmer

Josh Palmer Receptions
Player Prop Week 15

Las Vegas Raiders vs Los Angeles Chargers

 
 
 
Josh Palmer Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+120/-150).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Chargers will be forced to start backup QB Easton Stick in this week's game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
  • At a -3-point disadvantage, the Chargers are underdogs this week, suggesting more of a focus on moving the ball through the air than their standard game plan.
  • The model projects the Los Angeles Chargers as the 8th-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 61.0% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • At the moment, the 2nd-quickest paced team in football (in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Los Angeles Chargers.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Josh Palmer's 3.3 adjusted catches per game this year indicates an impressive reduction in his pass-catching skills over last year's 4.4 figure.
  • Josh Palmer's 59.9% Adjusted Catch% this season marks a material decrease in his pass-catching ability over last season's 72.2% mark.

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