My Account Log Out

reorder

Josh Palmer

Josh Palmer Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Cleveland Browns vs Los Angeles Chargers

Josh Palmer Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 32.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 30.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 32.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects this game to have the 2nd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 135.4 plays, based on the play styles of each team and game dynamics.

Josh Palmer's receiving reliability have been refined this year, with his Adjusted Catch% rising from 62.8% to 71.4%.

Josh Palmer's 11.3 adjusted yards per target this season illustrates a material improvement in his receiving talent over last season's 8.6 mark.

The Cleveland Browns pass defense has not been good when opposing wideouts have gotten into space, yielding an average of 4.55 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 6th-most in the NFL.

The Browns cornerbacks grade out as the worst group of CBs in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The 9th-smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Los Angeles Chargers this year (a mere 56.1 per game on average).

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been reluctant to lean on the pass against the Cleveland Browns, totaling the 6th-fewest attempts in football (just 30.4 per game) this year.

After accumulating 67.0 air yards per game last season, Josh Palmer has fallen off this season, currently boasting 43.0 per game.

Josh Palmer's 32.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive volume) has been quite a bit worse this year than it was last year at 43.2.

The Los Angeles Chargers offensive line profiles as the 7th-worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all pass game stats across the board.

More Josh Palmer Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™