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Josh Palmer

Josh Palmer Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

New England Patriots vs Los Angeles Chargers

Josh Palmer Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 35.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 32.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 35.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (4-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while run volume may drop-off.

Josh Palmer's 67.6% Snap% this season shows a noteable decrease in his offensive volume over last season's 79.0% figure.

Josh Palmer has received a whopping 25.9% of his team's air yards this year: 79th percentile among wide receivers.

The New England Patriots pass defense has been vulnerable when opposing wideouts have gotten into space, yielding an average of 4.45 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 9th-most in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A running game script is indicated by the Chargers being a 6-point favorite in this week's contest.

Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Chargers to pass on 53.7% of their chances: the 7th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by the projection model to have just 127.0 total plays called: the fewest among all games this week.

The fewest plays in football have been run by the Chargers this year (a lowly 53.6 per game on average).

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been reluctant to lean on the pass against the Patriots, averaging the 8th-fewest attempts in football (a lowly 32.7 per game) this year.

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