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Josh Palmer

Josh Palmer Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 15

Los Angeles Chargers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Josh Palmer Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 39.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 38.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 39.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The weatherman calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and reduced run volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 40.6 pass attempts per game versus the Buccaneers defense this year: most in the NFL.

Josh Palmer has been a less important option in his team's offense this season, staying on the field for just 67.7% of snaps vs 79.0% last season.

Josh Palmer grades out in the 79th percentile among wide receivers this year with a whopping 25.7% of his offense's air yards accumulated.

Josh Palmer's 9.9 adjusted yards per target this year indicates a substantial growth in his pass-catching proficiency over last year's 8.6 figure.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 127.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Chargers have run the 4th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a mere 54.4 plays per game.

Josh Palmer's 40.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this season illustrates an impressive decline in his pass-catching prowess over last season's 51.0 mark.

Josh Palmer's 2.43 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season signifies a material decrease in his efficiency in the open field over last season's 5.3% rate.

This year, the strong Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has surrendered the 4th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing wide receivers: a measly 7.5 yards.

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