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Josh Palmer
NFL · Player Props
Josh Palmer
WR · Los Angeles Chargers
Receiving Yards
Atlanta Falcons vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 13, 2024 Updated Dec 1, 2024 8:46 PM EST
NFL Props Josh Palmer Receiving Yards

Josh Palmer Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 39.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 39.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 39.5 @ -125.

Favors Over
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • The Falcons defense has been something of pass funnel this year, tempting opposing offenses to attempt the 7th-most passes in football (36.7 per game) this year.
  • Josh Palmer has been a much smaller part of his team's offense this season, playing on just 66.4% of snaps compared to 79.0% last season.
  • Josh Palmer's 10.1 adjusted yards per target this year represents an impressive gain in his pass-catching skills over last year's 8.6 figure.
  • The Falcons pass defense has yielded the highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (73.8%) vs. wide receivers this year (73.8%).
Favors Under
  • At the present time, the 8th-slowest paced offense in football (adjusted for context) according to the model is the Los Angeles Chargers.
  • Josh Palmer has notched significantly fewer air yards this season (62.0 per game) than he did last season (67.0 per game).
  • Josh Palmer's 38.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this year represents a remarkable diminishment in his receiving talent over last year's 51.0 rate.
  • Josh Palmer's 2.70 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season indicates a meaningful diminishment in his efficiency in space over last season's 5.3% mark.
  • The Atlanta Falcons pass defense has performed very well when opposing WRs have gotten into space, yielding an average of 3.44 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 4th-fewest in football.
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