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Josh Palmer

Josh Palmer Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Los Angeles Chargers vs Baltimore Ravens

Josh Palmer Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 36.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 34.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 36.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Still weather conditions (like the 1-mph wind being called for in this game) typically cause better passing effectiveness, higher touchdown potential, higher air attack volume, and reduced rush volume.

The Baltimore Ravens defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, tempting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the most passes in football (41.7 per game) this year.

Josh Palmer's 66.4% Adjusted Catch% this year shows a noteable growth in his receiving prowess over last year's 62.8% rate.

Josh Palmer's 11.7 adjusted yards per target this season illustrates a significant boost in his receiving prowess over last season's 8.6 mark.

This year, the porous Ravens defense has given up a whopping 201.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing wideouts: the worst in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Chargers are expected by the predictive model to call only 62.6 total plays in this game: the fewest on the slate this week.

The Chargers have called the fewest plays in football this year, averaging just 55.2 plays per game.

Josh Palmer has been less involved as a potential pass-catcher this season (75.3% Route Participation% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (86.3%).

After accruing 67.0 air yards per game last season, Josh Palmer has posted significant losses this season, currently boasting 47.0 per game.

Josh Palmer's 39.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this season indicates a noteworthy drop-off in his pass-catching proficiency over last season's 51.0 figure.

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