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Josh Palmer
NFL · Player Props
Josh Palmer
WR · Los Angeles Chargers
Receiving Yards
Kansas City Chiefs vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 7, 2023 Updated Oct 22, 2023 11:16 PM UTC
NFL Props Josh Palmer Receiving Yards

Josh Palmer Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 50.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 48.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 50.5 @ -110.

Favors Over
  • The Chargers are a 5.5-point underdog this week, indicating a passing game script.
  • The model projects the Los Angeles Chargers to be the 2nd-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 62.6% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Los Angeles Chargers are projected by the predictive model to run 66.9 offensive plays in this contest: the 2nd-most among all teams this week.
  • Josh Palmer's 62.2% snap rate this season conveys a an impressive regression in his offensive volume over last season's 76.8% rate.
  • The projections expect Josh Palmer to total 7.2 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 77th percentile among wide receivers.
Favors Under
  • The Chargers feature a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Kellen Moore, and the predictive model expects their pass/run mix to lean 1.8% more towards rushing than it did last year (in a neutral context).
  • Opposing teams have averaged 33.7 pass attempts per game vs. the Kansas City Chiefs defense this year: 7th-fewest in the league.
  • Josh Palmer's sure-handedness have tailed off this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate shrinking from 72.2% to 52.9%.
  • The Chiefs pass defense has displayed good efficiency vs. wide receivers this year, allowing 6.59 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 4th-fewest in football.
  • The Chiefs pass defense has been quite strong when opposing wideouts have gotten into space, giving up an average of 3.83 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 6th-fewest in the NFL.
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