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Josh Palmer

Josh Palmer Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Los Angeles Chargers vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
Josh Palmer Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 43.5 (-135/-105).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Chargers to pass on 63.4% of their chances: the 3rd-highest rate among all teams this week.
  • The predictive model expects this game to see the 3rd-most plays run among all games this week at 133.4 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 8th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a whopping 61.2 plays per game.
  • The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (0-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while ground volume may decline.
  • After averaging 57.0 air yards per game last season, Josh Palmer has posted big gains this season, currently sitting at 78.0 per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Chargers offensive scheme to tilt 2.2% more towards running than it did last year (context-neutralized) with offensive coordinator Kellen Moore now calling the plays.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 27.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Cowboys defense this year: fewest in the NFL.
  • Josh Palmer's 72.3% Route% this season shows a a material decrease in his pass attack usage over last season's 85.7% figure.
  • Josh Palmer has compiled a lot fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (37.0) this year than he did last year (48.0).
  • Josh Palmer's possession skills have diminished this year, with his Adjusted Completion% shrinking from 72.2% to 51.3%.

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